OPINIONS
Pierre isn’t done yet
But 2026 Will Decide Everything
In politics, momentum is everything—and in 2025, Pierre Poilievre lost his at the worst possible moment.
What was supposed to be a clear path to victory for the Conservative Party of Canada turned into one of the most dramatic reversals in modern Canadian political history. The sudden resignation of Justin Trudeau and the rapid ascent of Mark Carney reshaped the electoral battlefield almost overnight. Within weeks, a Conservative majority slipped away, replaced by a renewed Liberal mandate few saw coming.
And yet—despite losing the election—Poilievre is still here.
That alone tells you this story isn’t over.
A Leader Under Pressure
Poilievre enters the next phase of his leadership facing a difficult political reality. His party base remains loyal, but cracks are beginning to show elsewhere. Inside caucus, there are whispers of unease. Public polling continues to show him trailing Carney on key leadership metrics, particularly on the question of who Canadians trust to be prime minister.
The challenge is not just electoral—it’s personal. Poilievre built his brand on confrontation, clarity, and a relentless critique of Liberal governance. That approach energized a movement, but it also defined him in ways that are now proving difficult to expand beyond.
Recognizing this, Poilievre has begun a noticeable pivot. The sharper edges have softened. Media appearances are less combative, more personal. Long-form interviews and podcast appearances are replacing rapid-fire attacks. It’s a recalibration designed to make him more accessible, more relatable—and ultimately, more electable.
Whether that shift comes too late remains the central question.The Numbers Tell a Different Story
For all the talk of defeat, the underlying data paints a more complicated picture.
In 2025, the Conservatives didn’t collapse—they grew. The party increased its vote total significantly compared to 2021 and added seats in Parliament. By traditional measures, that’s progress. But politics isn’t judged in increments. It’s judged in wins and losses—and Poilievre lost a race many believed was his to take.
Still, there is one metric that may matter more than any other: young voters.
For years, Conservatives struggled to connect with Canadians under 35. Under previous leaders, they trailed badly with this demographic, often finishing a distant third behind both Liberals and New Democrats.
That changed under Poilievre.
Support among younger voters surged through 2023 and into 2025, reaching levels the party had not seen in decades. Even more striking, that support held firm during the Liberal comeback. While older voters shifted decisively toward Carney, younger voters largely stayed put.
That is not a small detail. It’s a structural shift.
In a political environment where long-term viability depends on generational alignment, Poilievre may have accomplished something quietly significant: he made the Conservative Party competitive with the next generation of voters.
Why the Liberals Won Anyway
If Poilievre gained ground, how did he lose?
The answer lies in who moved—and who didn’t.
The Liberal victory in 2025 was powered primarily by older Canadians abandoning the Conservatives, combined with a consolidation of progressive voters behind Carney. Younger voters didn’t drive the Liberal surge in the same way. Instead, they remained one of the few demographic groups where Conservative support proved resilient.
In other words, Poilievre didn’t lose everywhere. He lost where it mattered most.
The Case For—and Against—Poilievre
This is where the internal debate within Conservative circles becomes unavoidable.
Critics argue that Poilievre squandered a historic opportunity. He entered 2025 with a commanding lead and failed to close. His personal approval ratings lag behind his party’s support, raising concerns about whether he can ever fully convert momentum into victory.
Supporters see it differently.
They point to a growing voter base, increased seat count, and a breakthrough with younger Canadians. They argue that Poilievre has already done the hardest part—rebuilding the Conservative coalition—and that abandoning him now would mean starting over just as that work begins to pay off.
Both arguments hold weight. And that’s precisely why the question of his leadership remains unresolved.
2026: The Defining Moment
All of this sets the stage for what comes next.
A leadership review in 2026 will serve as a referendum not just on Poilievre, but on the direction of the Conservative Party itself. It will force members to answer a fundamental question: is Poilievre the leader who can expand the party’s reach—or has he already hit his ceiling?
To survive, Poilievre must do something he has not yet fully accomplished. He must bridge the gap between a passionate base and a broader electorate. That means winning back older voters who drifted away, while holding onto the younger coalition he worked to build.
It’s a delicate balance—and one that few political leaders manage successfully.
The Bottom Line
Pierre Poilievre is not finished.
But he is no longer inevitable.
He remains a leader with a strong base, a growing movement, and a genuine foothold among younger Canadians. At the same time, he carries the burden of a lost election that once looked like a sure thing.
The next chapter will determine whether 2025 was a temporary setback—or the moment his opportunity slipped away for good.
In Canadian politics, second chances are rare.
Poilievre may be about to find out if he gets one.
BC STORIES
Why the Early Election Gamble Backfired on the NDP
The B.C. Conservative Party is set to claim two-thirds of legislative seats after David Eby’s snap election call backfired, leaving the NDP seeking new leadership.
Voters Deliver Decisive Result in 2026 Snap Vote
Following the outcome of British Columbia’s 2026 snap election, the Conservative Party of B.C. is set to capture two-thirds of the seats in the legislature, leaving the NDP searching for a new party leader. Outgoing Premier David Eby initiated the vote two years ahead of schedule, citing the need for a fresh mandate to confront U.S. trade challenges while also seeking to capitalize on internal Conservative divisions.
However, the early vote call drew criticism from within his own party. NDP MLA Ravi Parmar, who won a tight contest in Langford-Highlands, stated that electors sent a clear signal that the early election was a mistake. According to Parmar, the party spent the campaign defending the timing of the vote rather than promoting its platform, which severely hurt their leadership.
Record-Low Voter Turnout and Campaign Missteps
Preliminary figures indicate voter participation dropped to just over 48 per cent. Total votes fell for both major parties compared to 2024, with Conservatives dropping by approximately 50,000 votes and the NDP seeing a decline of about 275,000. Mario Canseco of polling firm Research Co. pointed to poor messaging and rainy weather as factors, noting that Eby’s campaign remained focused on attacking former Conservative leader Kerry-Lynne Findlay, even though she had resigned two days prior to the election call.
Canseco noted that voters perceived interim Conservative leader Lorne Doerkson as a steady presence, making the NDP’s warnings of party instability ineffective. Late-campaign efforts by Eby to draw Green Party voters to the NDP also proved insufficient, as calculations showed the Conservatives would have won even if all Green supporters had shifted their ballots.
Analysis of a Political Miscalculation
Political science lecturer Stewart Prest from the University of British Columbia described the early call as a major political blunder and an own goal driven by partisan hubris. He noted that Eby ran a negative campaign that ultimately failed to resonate with the public.
Former Conservative leader John Rustad attributed his party’s victory to public dissatisfaction with the opportunistic timing of the election. Rustad, who became the party’s sole MLA in 2023 before leading them close to victory in 2024, said voters have used the past two years to become more comfortable with the Conservatives, who have not governed the province in a century.
Campaign consultant Mike McKinnon, who advised calling the snap election to secure a stronger mandate for trade negotiations, admitted the decision proved far more damaging than anticipated. Unlike the 2020 early election under John Horgan, where public frustration quickly faded, McKinnon acknowledged that Eby remained stuck defending the decision throughout the entire campaign.
OPINIONS
Why Premier-Elect Lorne Doerkson Must Clear a Party Rulebook Hurdle After B.C. Election
B.C. Premier-elect Lorne Doerkson faces a party constitutional clause after leading the B.C. Conservatives to a majority victory, ending a decade of NDP rule.
Internal Rule Poses Post-Election Hurdle for Premier-Elect
Following a decisive victory that delivered a two-thirds majority government to the B.C. Conservatives on Saturday, premier-elect Lorne Doerkson is moving quickly to resolve an internal administrative constraint regarding his leadership. Under the party’s current constitution, an interim leader is barred from seeking the permanent leadership in a subsequent ballot unless two-thirds of the party’s membership votes to change the clause.
Addressing reporters on Sunday, Doerkson dismissed concerns that the internal provision would prevent him from serving as premier. He characterized the matter as an administrative detail with further details coming imminently, asserting that he remains party leader and is thrilled to be premier-elect of a united party.
Party Leadership Transition and Local Mandate
Doerkson, who won the riding of Cariboo-Chilcotin after switching from B.C. United earlier this year, assumed the interim leadership shortly before outgoing NDP Premier David Eby called a snap election on Sept. 22. The election outcome brought an end to nearly ten years of NDP governance in British Columbia, completing a rapid rise for a party that captured under two per cent of the vote in 2020.
The brief leadership transition followed the sudden departure of Kerry-Lynne Findlay just days prior to the campaign. On Saturday, Findlay offered congratulations online for what she described as a historic victory, while newly elected West Vancouver-Capilano MLA Caroline Elliott—who previously lost a close leadership contest to Findlay—expressed full support for Doerkson, stating he had earned the trust of British Columbians.
Constitutional Amendment and Base Reaction
To secure Doerkson’s position, the party’s board confirmed it intends to pursue appropriate measures to amend the constitution, stating publicly that a premier selected by voters deserves the certainty of leading the party. Former B.C. premier Gordon Campbell also voiced support at the election-night event, describing Doerkson as an honest and straightforward figure.
However, political analysts point out potential friction within the party’s membership. Hamish Telford, an associate professor of political science at the University of the Fraser Valley, noted that a significant segment of the base had sought to distance the party from B.C. Liberal ties. Telford raised questions about how grassroots members will respond as the Conservatives shift toward a mainstream, business-oriented direction.
OPINIONS
Doerkson to British Columbia: The Waiting Is Over
Doerkson to British Columbia: The Waiting Is Over
Lorne Doerkson’s promise to make British Columbia a place where investment and opportunity can grow is compelling. The test will be whether his government can turn the speech into visible results.
Lorne Doerkson says British Columbia must replace uncertainty with action. His first message as premier-elect sets an ambitious direction on investment, energy, health care and affordability. Now the work is to make those promises real.
British Columbia has heard plenty of promises about its potential. What it has not always seen is the follow-through that turns potential into projects, jobs and opportunity.
That is why Lorne Doerkson’s first speech as premier-elect landed on a simple, memorable point: “You can plan around a no, but you can’t plan around a maybe.”
It is a sharp description of what can happen when businesses, workers and communities cannot tell whether a project will move forward, what it will cost or how long approval will take. Uncertainty does not sit still. Investment can go elsewhere. Young people can build their lives somewhere else. Communities can wait years for decisions that shape their future.
Doerkson’s answer is to say yes to investment and to cut red tape “like it’s never been cut before.” He promised a business summit in Vancouver next year and set out clear ambitions for natural gas production: doubling it by 2032 and tripling it by 2035. He argued that growth could mean tens of thousands of jobs and at least $6 billion a year for hospitals and schools.
Those are big commitments. They give British Columbians something concrete to measure. They also create a responsibility for the incoming government: explain how the province will reach those targets, what infrastructure and approvals will be required, and how communities will see the benefits.
The same test applies to the rest of the speech. Doerkson spoke about more fibre moving by truck, permits issued in months rather than years, support for mineral exploration, ports and rail that can get products to market, and reliable power for new industrial projects. Each promise speaks to a practical problem. Together, they describe a province that wants to build again.
But a change in tone will matter only if people can see a change in the process. If permits still take years, if grid connections remain out of reach or if communities cannot get clear answers, the language of “yes” will become another political slogan.
Doerkson also tied growth to the daily concerns of families. He promised a $1,000 tax cut as a start and no new taxes. He spoke of a publicly funded health-care system, rural emergency rooms and maternity wards that are open, family doctors for people who need them, and safer hospitals for staff.
These are not side issues to an economic plan. A province cannot persuade families to stay if they cannot find a doctor, rely on local emergency care or see a path to owning a home. The promise that a hard day’s work should lead to a family home and a future in British Columbia will be judged against the cost of living and the services people depend on.
On public safety, Doerkson said criminals should remain behind bars while people who need treatment should receive it. On property rights and parks, he offered assurances to landowners and the public. These commitments will require careful decisions in government. Protecting property, expanding access and responding to public safety concerns can involve competing interests. Voters will expect clear rules and consistent results.
The most personal part of the speech was its appeal to people considering leaving. To business owners, Doerkson urged them to stay and grow here. To young people, he said this is their home and their best days should happen close to family and friends, in a place they can afford.
That appeal is understandable. It also raises the standard for the government. People do not stay because a premier asks them to. They stay when opportunity is real, housing is within reach, public services work and their effort has a future here.
A province cannot eliminate every delay, disagreement or difficult trade-off. But it can make decisions on time, state its rules plainly and give people confidence that the answer will not remain “maybe” forever.
Doerkson has set an ambitious direction: a British Columbia where investment comes first, projects move, public services are strong and young people can build their lives at home. The speech made the case. Now the government must show, one decision at a time, that the waiting really is over.
—Chad Dashly
-
SPORTS5 days agoWhy B.C. Lions Starters Are Resting as the Regular Season Concludes Against Winnipeg
-
BC STORIES5 days agoBC Conservatives Promise Forestry Overhaul to Revive Jobs as NDP Points to Millions in Existing Investment
-
OPINIONS5 days agoHow Minor Parties and Strategic Balloting Could Shift the Upcoming B.C. Election
-
BC STORIES6 days agoPolice Seek Witnesses After Fatal Wrong-Way Collision Near Merritt
-
5 days ago
Your Current 3 Day Forecast — October 22, 2026
-
6 days ago
Your Current 3 Day Forecast — October 21, 2026
-
NATIONAL STORIES6 days ago
Highland Valley Copper Workers Could Strike Saturday as Union Issues Notice
-
HEALTH6 days agoCoquihalla Highway Reopens Near Merritt Following Morning Crash That Injured Four