NATIONAL STORIES
Trade Tariffs and Federal Seats at Stake as Voters Go to Polls in Three Provinces
Voters head to the polls Monday in three federal by-elections across B.C., Ontario, and Quebec as trade tensions with the U.S. influence local campaigns.
Key Contests in B.C., Ontario, and Quebec
Three federal by-elections are taking place on Monday in British Columbia, Ontario, and Quebec following recent departures of sitting Members of Parliament. The votes will decide representation for North Vancouver-Capilano, Beaches-East York, and Chicoutimi-Le Fjord.
In North Vancouver-Capilano, the Liberals aim to retain a seat they have held since 2015. Former deputy chief of staff Braeden Caley is running for the Liberals after former cabinet minister Jonathan Wilkinson stepped down to become Canada’s ambassador to the European Union. Conservative candidate Stephen Curran, NDP candidate Stephen Tweedale, and Green Party candidate Shelley Luce are also competing for the riding.
Ontario’s Beaches-East York seat became open after former Liberal MP Nate Erskine-Smith departed to run for Toronto city council. Former constituency office manager Tanveer Shahnawaz is seeking to keep the seat for the Liberals, facing Conservative candidate Jim Sybros, NDP candidate Shannon Devine, and Green candidate Bruce Livesey.
In Quebec, the riding of Chicoutimi-Le Fjord was vacated after Prime Minister Mark Carney appointed Conservative MP Richard Martel to the Senate. Conservative candidate Regis Gaudreault is seeking to hold the seat against Liberal candidate Daniel Gobeil, Bloc Quebecois candidate Caroline Dube, Green candidate Nathe Perrone, and NDP candidate Raphael Emond. Elections Canada advised voters to distinguish this federal vote from an upcoming provincial election in a riding of the same name scheduled for Sept. 26.
U.S. Trade Tension and Parliamentary Seat Dynamics
Ongoing trade friction with the United States forms a major backdrop for voters, particularly in the Saguenay region’s riding of Chicoutimi-Le Fjord. The local economy faces pressures from U.S. President Donald Trump’s tariffs on aluminum and forestry products, alongside targeted supply management policies affecting local dairy farmers.
According to a new Ipsos poll conducted for Global News, 44 per cent of respondents nationally supported the Liberals, compared to 33 per cent for the Conservatives, 10 per cent for the NDP, and eight per cent for the Bloc Quebecois. The poll indicated strong provincial support for maintaining a firm stance on trade disputes with the U.S., including 65 per cent agreement in B.C. and Ontario, and 57 per cent in Quebec, despite potential economic impacts.
The governing Liberals currently hold 170 seats in the House of Commons following recent MP resignations, leaving them two seats short of an explicit majority. However, with opposition parties combining for 166 seats, the government retains a working margin. Winning all three Monday contests would bring the Liberal total to 173 seats. Four additional federal by-elections will need to be scheduled in the coming months.
NATIONAL STORIES
Why First Nations Leaders Are Gathering in Ottawa to Push Back on Fast-Tracked Resource Projects
First Nations leaders meet Prime Minister Mark Carney and premiers in Ottawa to address concerns over fast-tracked major project approvals and rights.
Historic Summit Opens Amid Strained Relations
Assembly of First Nations leaders are convening in Ottawa today with Prime Minister Mark Carney and select provincial premiers for discussions described by the AFN as a historic occasion. The talks follow a ceremonial gathering held Sunday, which First Nations leaders hosted for all premiers and the prime minister, though only a small number of officials attended.
Relationships between Indigenous leadership and the federal government have grown tense following legislation enacted shortly after Carney’s 2025 election. That law established a dedicated office designed to streamline major project developments and issue approvals within a one-year window — an approach several chiefs contend poses a threat to their rights.
Grassroots Response and Calls for Respect
AFN National Chief Cindy Woodhouse Nepinak emphasized that First Nations serve as partners in Confederation. She stated that governments must respect Indigenous leadership as public officials move to accelerate resource extraction and large-scale infrastructure initiatives across the country.
Parallel to the official proceedings, a grassroots collective of First Nations community members gathered at an Ottawa community centre Sunday. The group met to organize protests against the summit, drawing explicit inspiration from the 2012 Idle No More movement that mobilized demonstrations nationwide.
NATIONAL STORIES
Why First Nations Leaders and Leaders Are Gathering for Historic Talks in Ottawa
First Nations leaders meet Prime Minister Mark Carney and premiers in Ottawa for ceremonies before historic talks on narrowing socioeconomic gaps.
Ceremony Precedes First Major Gathering Since 2005
Knowledge keepers, elders, First Nations leaders, and community members are assembling in Ottawa today for ceremonies grounding an upcoming landmark session. The gathering marks the prelude to a closed-door discussion scheduled for Monday between First Nations representatives and government leaders.
Top Leaders to Discuss Socioeconomic Gaps
Prime Minister Mark Carney and provincial premiers will meet with First Nations delegates, who will primarily consist of regional chiefs from the Assembly of First Nations. Monday’s talks represent the first gathering of this nature since the 2005 Kelowna Accord discussions, where provincial premiers and former prime minister Paul Martin addressed ways to narrow socioeconomic disparities in Indigenous communities.
Attendance and Cultural Significance
Assembly of First Nations National Chief Cindy Woodhouse Nepinak highlighted the importance of beginning the event with ceremony, stating it ensures participants enter “with the right frame of mind, grounded in First Nations spirituality.” While the Privy Council Office has not released the full attendance list of premiers, Alberta Premier Danielle Smith and Quebec Premier Paul St-Pierre Plamondon have announced they will not participate.
NATIONAL STORIES
Why Alberta’s Government Is Ruling Out Future Separation Votes
Premier Danielle Smith says Alberta won’t hold another separation referendum after over 75 per cent of voters chose to stay in Canada during a province-wide vote.
Premier Smith Rules Out Further Separatist Ballots
Following a provincial vote on Oct. 19 where over 75 per cent of voters chose to remain in Canada, Premier Danielle Smith announced on Tuesday, Oct. 20, that no further referendums on separation will occur during her tenure. Smith stated that the result provides her government with a clear mandate to stay a Canadian province while continuing to push for provincial autonomy within the national constitutional framework.
Disputes to Be Settled Within Canadian Legal System
Addressing the public, Smith emphasized that future disagreements with Ottawa will be handled through political and legal avenues rather than secession. She noted that while constitutional battles remain, key federal political parties now show strong support for Alberta’s major economic sectors. Smith also highlighted that the referendum directed her administration to pursue greater provincial authority over immigration, focus on jobs for Canadians, mandate contributions from temporary residents for public services, and require proof of citizenship to vote.
Opposition Raises Concerns Over Costs and Priorities
Alberta NDP leader Naheed Nenshi criticized the premier’s approach prior to her address, arguing that Smith spent nearly $200 million in taxpayer funds on the referendum exercise, including $4 million spent directly to sway voters. Nenshi stated that the public is frustrated with issues such as the cost of living, employment, public education, and healthcare, claiming the premier’s actions catered to separatists rather than addressing core public priorities.
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